Nardò vs Picerno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
55.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SOR
2 - 1
NAR
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
USF
2 - 0
NAR
84%
12%
4%
|
31 | 63 | 32 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 0
NAR
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
NAR
1 - 1
GRU
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
AUD
2 - 1
NAR
80%
14%
6%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
PIC
0 - 0
TAR
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2020 |
PIC
3 - 0
REN
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
REN
1 - 0
PIC
30%
28%
42%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PIC
0 - 2
REG
24%
28%
49%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
FRA
1 - 2
PIC
69%
20%
11%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |