Nardò vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+105%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
NAR
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
BIS
2 - 1
NAR
47%
26%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
NAR
2 - 3
FBC
31%
25%
43%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MOL
5 - 0
NAR
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
NAR
2 - 0
ASF
29%
24%
47%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
NOC
3 - 0
SOR
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
FBC
0 - 2
NOC
55%
26%
20%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
NOC
4 - 2
ROT
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
FCF
1 - 1
NOC
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
NOC
0 - 0
BIS
46%
24%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |