Nardò vs Madrepietra Daunia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
12%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 3
NAR
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NAR
5 - 0
AGR
62%
22%
15%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BIS
1 - 2
NAR
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 3
ANZ
62%
22%
16%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
POL
0 - 2
NAR
19%
22%
60%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Madrepietra Daunia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MDC
1 - 0
GEL
17%
21%
62%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PIC
2 - 1
MDC
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MDC
3 - 2
CSV
24%
21%
55%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MDC
0 - 3
BIS
13%
18%
69%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
NOC
3 - 1
MDC
87%
9%
4%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |