Nardò vs Gelbison analysis

Nardò Gelbison
52 ELO 48
-8.5% Tilt -7.6%
3514º General ELO ranking 5122º
90º Country ELO ranking 137º
ELO win probability
56.3%
Nardò
25.6%
Draw
18.1%
Gelbison

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
Nardò
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
18.1%
Win probability
Gelbison
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nardò
-2%
-27%
Gelbison

Points and table prediction

Nardò
Their league position
Gelbison
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
18º
43
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Team Altamura
72
72
100%
Martina Franca
66
66
100%
Nardò
65
65
100%
Fidelis Andria
61
61
100%
Virtus Casarano
53
53
0%
Matera
53
53
0%
Palmese
47
47
100%
Paganese
45
45
100%
Gelbison
43
43
0%
SS Manfredonia Calcio
10º
43
43
10º
0%
Rotonda
11º
42
42
11º
100%
Gravina
12º
41
41
12º
100%
Città di Fasano
13º
41
41
13º
100%
Angri
14º
37
37
14º
100%
Gallipoli
15º
33
33
15º
100%
Barletta
16º
31
31
16º
0%
USD Bitonto
17º
31
31
17º
0%
Santa Maria Cilento
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Nardò
Gelbison
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Nardò
Gelbison
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nardò
Nardò
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2023
ASF
Città di Fasano
2 - 3
Nardò
NAR
28%
27%
45%
51 44 7 0
19 Nov. 2023
NAR
Nardò
1 - 1
SS Manfredonia Calcio
SSM
68%
19%
13%
51 36 15 0
12 Nov. 2023
ACC
Angri
0 - 2
Nardò
NAR
19%
24%
57%
51 33 18 0
05 Nov. 2023
NAR
Nardò
3 - 0
USD Bitonto
USB
73%
18%
9%
50 37 13 +1
01 Nov. 2023
MAR
Martina Franca
1 - 1
Nardò
NAR
32%
26%
42%
50 44 6 0

Matches

Gelbison
Gelbison
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2023
GEL
Gelbison
0 - 1
Rotonda
ROT
67%
21%
12%
49 38 11 0
19 Nov. 2023
GEL
Gelbison
1 - 0
USD Bitonto
USB
68%
20%
12%
49 36 13 0
12 Nov. 2023
SSM
SS Manfredonia Calcio
1 - 1
Gelbison
GEL
32%
28%
40%
49 35 14 0
05 Nov. 2023
GEL
Gelbison
2 - 0
Gallipoli
GAL
47%
25%
28%
48 44 4 +1
01 Nov. 2023
MAT
Matera
1 - 0
Gelbison
GEL
38%
28%
34%
49 42 7 -1