Nardò vs Francavilla Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
19.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AVH
1 - 1
NAR
29%
23%
48%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
NAR
3 - 0
RPO
54%
22%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
TRA
3 - 0
NAR
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 0
SSE
66%
21%
14%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CYN
2 - 3
NAR
17%
23%
60%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 1
GEL
48%
25%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CSV
1 - 1
FRA
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 0
MDC
67%
17%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 1
FRA
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 0
AGR
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +2 |