Nardò vs Fondi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SSM
1 - 0
NAR
46%
25%
30%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NAR
1 - 1
FRA
38%
28%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
POM
3 - 2
NAR
34%
28%
39%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NAR
0 - 0
REA
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
NAR
19%
22%
59%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FON
4 - 0
RPO
56%
21%
22%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SSE
1 - 1
FON
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FON
4 - 2
APR
74%
15%
10%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ACI
0 - 2
FON
30%
27%
43%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FON
5 - 1
TUR
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |