Nardò vs Fidelis Andria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
38.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
HYR
3 - 1
NAR
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
NAR
1 - 1
ASF
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
FCS
0 - 0
NAR
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
NAR
0 - 0
AUD
35%
27%
39%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 0
NAR
20%
24%
56%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
FIA
0 - 0
GEL
61%
23%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
FIA
0 - 1
ASD
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FBC
4 - 1
FIA
19%
25%
56%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -3 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
FIA
3 - 0
SAR
74%
18%
8%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
FIA
0 - 0
HYR
69%
21%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |