Nardò vs Città di Fasano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
FCS
0 - 0
NAR
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
NAR
0 - 0
AUD
35%
27%
39%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 0
NAR
20%
24%
56%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
NAR
2 - 1
TAR
34%
27%
38%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
USB
1 - 1
NAR
46%
22%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Città di Fasano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
ASF
0 - 1
ASD
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SAR
0 - 1
ASF
29%
22%
49%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ASF
1 - 1
FIA
24%
26%
50%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
ASF
2 - 2
TAR
29%
22%
49%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
HYR
3 - 1
ASF
32%
21%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |