Nardò vs Audace Cerignola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
65.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 3
NAR
60%
22%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
NAR
0 - 2
NOC
35%
26%
39%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
NAR
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
BIS
2 - 1
NAR
47%
26%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
NAR
2 - 3
FBC
31%
25%
43%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
AUD
4 - 2
GLA
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
AUD
3 - 0
CAS
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
BIS
0 - 0
AUD
13%
23%
64%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
AUD
2 - 1
FBC
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 1
AUD
18%
24%
58%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |