Nardò vs Molfetta Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
ASF
3 - 2
NAR
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
NAR
4 - 0
SOR
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 1
NAR
34%
24%
43%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 3
NAR
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
NAR
2 - 4
BRI
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Molfetta Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
MOL
1 - 1
CAS
23%
21%
56%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
BIS
1 - 0
MOL
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MOL
1 - 1
FBC
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 3
MOL
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
MOL
0 - 1
VIR
50%
23%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |