Nardò vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GAL
1 - 3
NAR
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NAR
3 - 0
TUR
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SSE
0 - 1
NAR
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NAR
3 - 0
TOR
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ACI
2 - 1
NAR
27%
27%
46%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
APR
2 - 2
RPO
32%
23%
46%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
APR
2 - 2
SSE
30%
23%
48%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
GAL
1 - 0
APR
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
APR
2 - 2
ACI
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
TUR
1 - 1
APR
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |