Nardo vs Tiller IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
STE
0 - 3
NAR
13%
18%
69%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
KOL
3 - 2
NAR
30%
22%
47%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
NAR
4 - 4
IFC
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NAR
2 - 1
TFC
55%
22%
24%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
NAR
0 - 4
LSK
6%
14%
80%
|
42 | 76 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Tiller IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
TIL
2 - 3
KOL
33%
21%
46%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
SKT
2 - 4
TIL
30%
22%
48%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
TIL
1 - 3
STR
22%
20%
57%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
ORK
2 - 5
TIL
47%
21%
32%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SPJ
2 - 0
TIL
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |