Nardo vs Steinkjer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
3º
2º
26
8º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
TIL
1 - 4
NAR
14%
17%
69%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
NAR
3 - 0
KBK
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
VER
1 - 0
NAR
8%
14%
78%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
NAR
0 - 1
BYA
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NAR
3 - 1
STR
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Steinkjer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
STE
3 - 2
KOL
54%
20%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
ROS
9 - 0
STE
75%
13%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
STE
0 - 2
MOS
39%
21%
40%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BYA
3 - 3
STE
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
STE
2 - 2
TIL
23%
19%
58%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |