Nardo vs Kolstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
3.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
3º
2º
10
13º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
STR
1 - 2
NAR
62%
19%
18%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NAR
3 - 2
TLI
87%
9%
4%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
NAR
5 - 0
MOS
78%
13%
9%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
KBK
1 - 2
NAR
13%
17%
70%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NAR
3 - 1
TIL
71%
16%
14%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Kolstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
KOL
4 - 2
MOS
13%
15%
73%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BYA
17 - 0
KOL
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 3
TIL
16%
17%
67%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
STR
3 - 0
KOL
94%
5%
2%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 1
VER
27%
21%
52%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |