Narcea vs Triple A Gijón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
NAI
2 - 1
NAR
44%
23%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PDV
4 - 3
NAR
70%
17%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 2
HIS
24%
23%
53%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
NAR
56%
21%
23%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NAR
2 - 0
SLC
34%
23%
43%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Triple A Gijón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 2
HIS
26%
21%
53%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
6 - 1
TRI
63%
19%
19%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 1
SLC
44%
22%
34%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
COD
3 - 2
TRI
33%
22%
45%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
TRI
2 - 3
GOZ
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |