Narcea vs Tineo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 3
NAR
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 1
NAR
43%
23%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
NAR
3 - 0
RAI
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SLC
3 - 1
NAR
72%
16%
13%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
NAR
4 - 3
COD
53%
22%
25%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tineo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
TIN
1 - 0
HIS
42%
24%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
TIN
2 - 4
LEN
15%
23%
62%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
VCD
1 - 1
TIN
55%
24%
22%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
TIN
1 - 2
ESM
19%
23%
58%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MOS
0 - 0
TIN
48%
25%
28%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |