Narcea vs Navia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
52%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NAR
1 - 1
PDV
19%
22%
59%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HIS
3 - 0
NAR
38%
23%
39%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
NAR
1 - 0
ATL
48%
23%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SLC
1 - 3
NAR
51%
21%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NAR
2 - 1
COD
70%
18%
13%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NAI
1 - 1
HIS
58%
20%
22%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
NAI
24%
21%
55%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
NAI
2 - 1
SLC
72%
16%
13%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
COD
2 - 1
NAI
7%
13%
80%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NAI
1 - 0
GOZ
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |