Narbonne vs Aigues Mortes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
40.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narbonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
NAR
52%
26%
23%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
FAB
1 - 0
NAR
43%
25%
32%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
ROD
1 - 2
NAR
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
NAR
3 - 0
MUR
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +3 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
NAR
0 - 0
FCA
36%
23%
42%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aigues Mortes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
NIM
3 - 1
SAM
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 0
FAB
69%
17%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ROD
1 - 1
SAM
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 0
FCA
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 2
TOU
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |