Narbonne vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
36.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narbonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 0
NAR
51%
25%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LES
1 - 1
NAR
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NAR
2 - 1
AUC
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 0
NAR
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
NAR
4 - 1
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 2
LES
55%
23%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
AUC
2 - 3
TOU
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 2
LOR
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 2
TOU
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
STA
4 - 1
TOU
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |