Narbonne vs Nîmes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
44.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narbonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MON
2 - 0
NAR
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NAR
1 - 2
MUR
49%
23%
29%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
ROD
1 - 1
NAR
65%
19%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
NAR
1 - 0
FCA
53%
21%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
NAR
1 - 1
BEA
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nîmes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
NIM
0 - 2
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FAB
4 - 1
NIM
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
NIM
1 - 1
AGD
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BLA
0 - 3
NIM
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
NIM
2 - 3
TOU
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |