Narbonne vs Montpellier II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
35.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narbonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BER
4 - 1
NAR
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
NAR
1 - 1
AUR
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
TOU
4 - 0
NAR
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
NAR
1 - 1
BAL
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
NAR
0 - 0
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Montpellier II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MON
2 - 0
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AUC
1 - 2
MON
25%
24%
51%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MON
0 - 0
LOR
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 3
MON
43%
25%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
NIM
49%
25%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |