Narbonne vs Alberes Argelès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
26.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narbonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
NAR
1 - 1
BEA
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
NAR
3 - 2
OLY
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
CRF
2 - 1
NAR
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
NAR
2 - 0
FAB
21%
21%
59%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +4 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
TOU
1 - 0
NAR
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Alberes Argelès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
FCA
0 - 0
CAS
49%
22%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
FCA
0 - 1
PAU
6%
12%
82%
|
26 | 63 | 37 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
FCA
0 - 2
LPV
14%
21%
64%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
FCA
3 - 2
MAR
29%
21%
49%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |