Narbonne vs Fabrègues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narbonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 2
NAR
38%
26%
36%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
NAR
3 - 3
ROD
36%
23%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FCA
3 - 0
NAR
60%
20%
19%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NAR
2 - 4
NIM
46%
23%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
TOU
1 - 0
NAR
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fabrègues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
FAB
0 - 1
BEA
29%
23%
48%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
FAB
0 - 0
MUR
45%
25%
30%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ROD
3 - 1
FAB
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
FAB
1 - 3
FCA
30%
23%
47%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
NIM
1 - 1
FAB
58%
23%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |