Naranja Mekánica vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.3%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
85.3%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
13.5%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.1%
0-4
9.7%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
12.8%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naranja Mekánica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NMK
1 - 0
JUV
8%
14%
78%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
JUV
3 - 0
NMK
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NMK
4 - 1
GRE
13%
21%
66%
|
9 | 60 | 51 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 2
NMK
80%
14%
6%
|
7 | 60 | 53 | +2 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
RIV
5 - 0
CHA
61%
24%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
CUN
1 - 0
RIV
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 2
GUA
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
CSV
54%
27%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 0
RIV
44%
28%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |