Naranja Mekánica vs Juventud Italiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
78.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naranja Mekánica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
JUV
3 - 0
NMK
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NMK
4 - 1
GRE
13%
21%
66%
|
9 | 60 | 51 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 2
NMK
80%
14%
6%
|
7 | 60 | 53 | +2 |
Matches
Juventud Italiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
JUV
3 - 0
NMK
89%
8%
3%
|
46 | 11 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
JUV
4 - 0
ATK
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ATK
0 - 1
JUV
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CSV
3 - 0
JUV
41%
25%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 1
CSV
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |