Nara-ShBFR vs Volga Tver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
40.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nara-ShBFR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
NAR
0 - 0
FKZ
53%
25%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2010 |
IST
0 - 2
NAR
59%
22%
18%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
NAR
0 - 0
LOK
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2010 |
DNE
2 - 2
NAR
39%
26%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
NAR
2 - 0
TEK
43%
26%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Volga Tver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
IST
1 - 0
VOL
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
VOL
0 - 1
DNE
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2010 |
VOL
1 - 1
LOK
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 1
VOL
43%
27%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2010 |
TEK
0 - 2
VOL
30%
27%
44%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |