Nara-ShBFR vs Sever Murmansk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nara-ShBFR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2010 |
TOR
2 - 0
NAR
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
VOR
2 - 1
NAR
47%
26%
27%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
NAR
1 - 4
TOR
20%
26%
55%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
NAR
2 - 0
DIK
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
SAC
0 - 2
NAR
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2010 |
SEV
2 - 3
LOK
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
SEV
2 - 0
DNE
64%
21%
16%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
TEK
0 - 1
SEV
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 1
SEV
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
SEV
0 - 1
SHC
58%
23%
20%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |