Nara-ShBFR vs Zelenograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nara-ShBFR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2010 |
IST
0 - 2
NAR
59%
22%
18%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
NAR
0 - 0
LOK
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2010 |
DNE
2 - 2
NAR
39%
26%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
NAR
2 - 0
TEK
43%
26%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
NAR
0 - 0
SPA
23%
26%
51%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Zelenograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
FKZ
0 - 1
LOK
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2010 |
FKZ
3 - 1
DNE
52%
25%
23%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
TEK
1 - 2
FKZ
47%
26%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 0
FKZ
60%
24%
17%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
FKZ
0 - 4
DVO
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |