Nara-ShBFR vs Istra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nara-ShBFR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
LOK
0 - 0
NAR
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
NAR
1 - 2
DNE
43%
27%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TEK
1 - 0
NAR
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 2
NAR
51%
26%
23%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
NAR
1 - 1
DVO
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Istra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
IST
3 - 0
DNE
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
IST
2 - 0
LOK
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +3 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
SPA
2 - 0
IST
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
TEK
2 - 2
IST
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
IST
0 - 2
SHC
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |