Nara-ShBFR vs Dnepr Smolensk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nara-ShBFR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TEK
1 - 0
NAR
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 2
NAR
51%
26%
23%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
NAR
1 - 1
DVO
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
NAR
1 - 0
SHC
36%
27%
37%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
SEV
1 - 0
NAR
60%
21%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
DNE
2 - 1
LOK
24%
26%
51%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
DNE
1 - 1
TEK
53%
25%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
DNE
1 - 0
SPA
23%
27%
49%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
DVO
3 - 0
DNE
64%
22%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
SHC
3 - 2
DNE
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |