Nara-ShBFR vs Dinamo Kostroma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nara-ShBFR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
SAC
0 - 2
NAR
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PSK
4 - 3
NAR
58%
22%
19%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
NAR
1 - 3
TOR
21%
27%
52%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
NAR
3 - 0
FKS
83%
13%
4%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
VOR
2 - 2
NAR
50%
26%
24%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Kostroma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
DIK
2 - 2
LOK
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
DIK
1 - 3
DNE
35%
25%
40%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |