Nara Club vs Tochigi Uva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nara Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
RKD
1 - 2
NAR
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
NAR
3 - 0
FAG
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
URA
2 - 1
NAR
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NAR
2 - 2
HON
20%
22%
58%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AZU
3 - 0
NAR
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tochigi Uva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
TOC
0 - 1
YOK
32%
26%
42%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
TOC
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
REA
1 - 2
TOC
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
0 - 5
RKD
23%
21%
57%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FAG
0 - 3
TOC
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |