Nara Club vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
61.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nara Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NAR
2 - 2
MAT
39%
28%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
GRU
2 - 1
NAR
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TMF
2 - 1
NAR
25%
27%
49%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
NAR
3 - 3
ZWE
49%
26%
24%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
KAM
1 - 1
NAR
22%
28%
51%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CON
1 - 1
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
AVI
1 - 1
SAN
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
SHO
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 2
SAN
35%
28%
38%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
GAM
56%
23%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |