Nara Club vs Fagiano Okayama II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nara Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
URA
2 - 1
NAR
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NAR
2 - 2
HON
20%
22%
58%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AZU
3 - 0
NAR
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NAR
0 - 0
SON
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VAN
0 - 0
NAR
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
FAG
0 - 1
YOK
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
FAG
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FAG
0 - 3
TOC
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RKD
2 - 1
FAG
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FAG
2 - 3
REA
14%
21%
65%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | -1 |