Napredok Kičevo vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napredok Kičevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 1
NAP
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 0
SIL
37%
27%
37%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
NAP
2 - 0
TIK
44%
23%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 0
NAP
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 3
FKS
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 0
RAB
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
11O
0 - 1
VAR
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 0
NAP
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PEL
1 - 0
VAR
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2011 |
TET
2 - 1
VAR
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |