Napredak Krusevac vs Zemun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
11.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 0
NAP
33%
29%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
NAP
0 - 1
BAS
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BEA
1 - 1
NAP
30%
29%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NAP
0 - 2
RAD
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
RSO
1 - 1
NAP
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Zemun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ZEM
1 - 3
BZR
32%
30%
39%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
SRE
1 - 0
ZEM
37%
29%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ZEM
1 - 2
KOL
55%
26%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ZEM
0 - 0
NOV
45%
27%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZEM
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |