Napredak Krusevac vs Železničar Pancevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
33%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
9º
14º
14º
26
5º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 57 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 48 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 47 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 45 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 45 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 37 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 35 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 33 |
13º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 28 |
15º
|
73.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3.5% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
96.5% | 86.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
NAP
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
JED
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 0
NAP
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 2
NAP
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 3
TSC
18%
25%
58%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Železničar Pancevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ZEL
1 - 1
RAD
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ZEL
3 - 3
TSC
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
ČUK
2 - 0
ZEL
65%
22%
14%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 1
ZEL
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ZEL
0 - 1
NPA
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |