Napredak Krusevac vs Radnik Surdulica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
10º
16º
10º
23
13º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
INI
0 - 2
NAP
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MLA
3 - 1
NAP
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NAP
4 - 0
KOL
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
NAP
3 - 0
FKA
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CRV
1 - 0
NAP
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Radnik Surdulica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
RAD
1 - 1
NPA
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TSC
2 - 1
RAD
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RAD
0 - 2
PAR
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
JAV
2 - 2
RAD
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
RAD
0 - 4
ČUK
24%
26%
51%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |