Napredak Krusevac vs Radnik Surdulica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
JAV
3 - 0
NAP
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
NAP
1 - 3
PAR
21%
25%
54%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
CRV
2 - 1
NAP
80%
13%
6%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
FKZ
0 - 0
NAP
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
KRU
1 - 0
NAP
36%
23%
41%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Radnik Surdulica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
RAD
2 - 3
MLA
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
VOZ
1 - 3
RAD
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
RAD
1 - 0
JAG
81%
13%
6%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
RAD
4 - 1
DUB
88%
10%
3%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2020 |
VOZ
1 - 1
RAD
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |