Napredak Krusevac vs OFK Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
34.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
9º
14º
14º
33
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 56 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 49 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 47 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 46 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 44 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 44 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 37 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 35 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 34 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 26 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 13 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3.5% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
96.5% | 15.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VOJ
1 - 2
NAP
74%
18%
8%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 0
FKS
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
3 - 1
NAP
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 1
NOV
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ZEL
1 - 1
NAP
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
OFK Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BEO
3 - 5
RAD
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
TSC
0 - 1
BEO
72%
18%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BEO
1 - 2
ČUK
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NPA
0 - 0
BEO
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
BEO
1 - 0
TOD
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |