Napredak Krusevac vs Jedinstvo Ub analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
23.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
9º
14º
12º
8
16º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 56 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 48 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 47 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 45 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 43 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 40 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 35 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 35 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 34 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 26 |
15º
|
79% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
93.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 0
NAP
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 2
NAP
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 3
TSC
18%
25%
58%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
ČUK
0 - 0
NAP
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
NPA
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Jedinstvo Ub
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
JED
0 - 1
BEO
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
JED
0 - 1
ČUK
18%
22%
60%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
RAD
4 - 0
JED
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
JED
1 - 1
VOJ
13%
23%
64%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TSC
2 - 0
JED
81%
14%
6%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |