Napredak Krusevac vs IMT Novi Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
44%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
8º
15º
8º
32
4º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 0
NAP
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
JAV
0 - 2
NAP
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 3
RAD
41%
30%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
RAD
1 - 1
NAP
54%
25%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 2
PAR
11%
22%
67%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
JAV
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 2
CRV
18%
21%
61%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
ZEL
3 - 1
NOV
32%
26%
43%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
RAD
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
VOJ
2 - 1
NOV
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |