Napredak Krusevac vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
65.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
9º
15º
14º
12
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 65 |
1º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
12 | 56 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 52 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 49 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 49 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 45 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 42 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 40 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 36 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 35 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 35 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
8 | 28 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 26 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 19 |
16º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
96.5% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 0
RAD
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
BOH
1 - 1
NAP
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
NYI
1 - 3
NAP
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
BAC
6 - 0
NAP
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 4
CRV
12%
21%
67%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
PAR
45%
24%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
CSK
3 - 0
PAR
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 2
PAR
46%
24%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
PAR
24%
25%
52%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 2
RAD
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |