Napredak Krusevac vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
63.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
8º
8º
8º
78
5º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
75 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 11 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 11 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
ČUK
2 - 0
NAP
74%
18%
8%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 4
RAD
27%
29%
45%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
MLA
3 - 1
NAP
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 2
RAD
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 1
NAP
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 3
VOJ
51%
24%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 2
BAC
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
CRV
2 - 0
PAR
55%
21%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CRV
3 - 2
PAR
52%
23%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ČUK
3 - 2
PAR
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |