Napredak Krusevac vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
51.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BAK
1 - 3
NAP
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
NAP
3 - 1
BOR
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NPA
0 - 1
NAP
32%
28%
39%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
NAP
2 - 0
RAD
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
RAD
0 - 1
NAP
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BOR
0 - 1
CRV
10%
19%
71%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CRV
2 - 1
RAD
85%
11%
5%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
CRV
3 - 0
BSK
90%
8%
2%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
FKS
1 - 1
CRV
19%
22%
59%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CRV
3 - 1
ČUK
83%
12%
6%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |