Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 5-2
Napoli vs Wiener SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
NAP
1 - 0
VIC
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1966 |
WIE
1 - 2
NAP
70%
17%
12%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
NAP
3 - 1
INT
22%
25%
53%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
SAM
1 - 0
NAP
43%
29%
29%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
CAG
0 - 2
NAP
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Wiener SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
WIE
5 - 1
VOR
75%
14%
11%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1966 |
AUS
2 - 2
WIE
55%
22%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1966 |
WIE
2 - 0
GRA
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1966 |
WIE
1 - 2
NAP
70%
17%
12%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1966 |
LAS
3 - 1
WIE
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |