Napoli vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1965 |
NAP
1 - 2
ROM
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
VNZ
0 - 0
NAP
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
NAP
0 - 0
POT
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
LIV
0 - 1
NAP
36%
31%
33%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
NAP
1 - 0
FOR
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1965 |
PAR
2 - 1
TRI
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
TRI
1 - 1
FCC
44%
28%
29%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
TRI
3 - 1
PAL
41%
29%
29%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
REG
1 - 1
TRI
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
TRI
0 - 2
ASS
46%
28%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |