Napoli vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
UDI
0 - 0
NAP
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
NAP
1 - 1
USA
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
LEC
1 - 0
NAP
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
PAR
2 - 2
NAP
38%
30%
33%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
NAP
1 - 2
POT
68%
19%
12%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
CAG
0 - 0
TRI
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
TRI
1 - 3
PAL
49%
29%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
TRI
1 - 0
POT
52%
25%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
PRO
0 - 1
TRI
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
TRI
1 - 0
UDI
47%
28%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |