Napoli vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1956 |
FIO
0 - 0
NAP
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
NAP
2 - 2
SPA
68%
19%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
NAP
1 - 2
LAZ
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
JUV
0 - 1
NAP
69%
18%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
NAP
3 - 1
SAM
56%
22%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1956 |
GEN
1 - 0
TRI
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
TRI
1 - 1
FIO
31%
26%
44%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
TRI
1 - 3
BOL
41%
25%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
NOV
0 - 1
TRI
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
TRI
1 - 0
PAD
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |