Napoli vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
JUV
1 - 0
NAP
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
NAP
0 - 0
ACL
48%
22%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
ACM
0 - 0
NAP
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
NAP
2 - 1
NOV
60%
21%
20%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
TOR
0 - 0
NAP
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
TRI
0 - 1
ROM
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
MOD
1 - 0
TRI
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
TRI
2 - 1
ASL
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
TOR
1 - 0
TRI
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
ASL
1 - 0
TRI
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |